Tens of millions died during the infamous Spanish Flu pandemic. Statisticians at FullFact have now addressed whether the startling similarities between both coronavirus scenarios mean whether a potential second wave could trigger a similar death toll. The 1957–1958 Asian flu pandemic was a global pandemic of influenza A virus subtype H2N2 that originated in Guizhou of southern China. Aspirin & Spanish flu . Some believe it was because the soldiers doing military service returned home in the summer, or that Portuguese people who returned home by train after the war ended, were to blame. The post reads “The most severe pandemic in history was the Spanish Flu of 1918. We need your help to protect us all from false and harmful information. “The people felt so bad about the quarantine and social distancing measures that when they were first lifted, the people rejoiced in the streets without abandon. The Spanish Flu first saw a 'U curve' - two major spikes in deaths among the very old and very young. Most of the deaths occurred with the second wave. As COVID-19 rates begin to steady in some parts of the U.S., people today are nervously eyeing the “second wave” of influenza that came in autumn 1918, that pandemic’s deadliest period. Lessons from the Spanish Flu: 50 to 100 million died worldwide during outbreak. The devastating second wave passed by December 2018, but there was more to come. So what can be done to avoid a second wave … The second wave was much more deadly than the first or third wave. Bad information ruins lives. Could you help protect us all from false and harmful information today? 4 There was reluctance to impose control measures, since they would interfere with the war effort. Such a mutation might have caused the second middle wave of Spanish flu to be particularly severe. Today, you have the opportunity to help save lives. The social media post said: “The most severe pandemic in history was the Spanish Flu of 1918. Spanish flu did indeed experience a second wave, one which was undoubtedly worse than the first as the virus began to mutate and get stronger. The graph below demonstrates the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic. The flu wiped out millions across the globe. The number of deaths caused by the 1957–1958 pandemic is estimated between 1–4 million worldwide, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in history. On the plus side, preventive measures aimed at SARS-CoV-2 virus (such as masks and handwashing) might reduce the spread of the flu virus. The graph shown in the post is a commonly used graphic when talking about the three waves of the Spanish flu. A Facebook post warning “humanity should never allow a repeat of the same mistake in 1918” has been shared thousands of times on Facebook. Neither of these will work. The virus also came in multiple waves, the second wave in the fall of 1918 considered the deadliest. You can read more about this—and find out how to report Facebook content—here. Spanish Flu second wave graphs: Did the 1918 pandemic have a second wave? Between September and November, a second wave of flu peaks in the United States. The post might be referring to an infamous incident that happened with a parade in Philadelphia during the 1918 pandemic, although again, this didn’t happen because of quarantine being lifted. The 1918 flu, also known as the Spanish Flu, ... none experienced a second wave of high death rates. The Motor Corps of St. Louis chapter of the American Red Cross on ambulance duty during the influenza epidemic, October 1918. The first pandemic influenza wave appeared in the spring of 1918, followed in rapid succes-sion by much more fatal second and third waves in the fall and winter of 1918–1919, respectively (Figure 1). Thanks to Bytemark for donating our web hosting, and Alamy for providing stock photos. The so-called Spanish Flu of 1918-1919 was little different from other flu epidemics that came and went year after year without much mortality. Second ‘wave’ theory. The second wave was thought to be caused by a mutant more-virulent virus and to be spread by troop movements across Europe during World War I. Such a mutation might have caused the second middle wave of Spanish flu to be particularly severe.. Historians now believe the severity of the virus in those three winter months in 1918 could have been caused in part by wartime troop movements. Beware the second wave: how the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic tore through Edinburgh. A scientific graph from the 1918 ‘Spanish’ flu pandemic showing mortality rates in the US and Europe. 1918 Pandemic Waves 3. Finally, the virus could mutate resulting in a more infectious strain. “Most of the fatalities happened in the second wave. The source of these figures most likely arrives from a book first published in 1927, which sourced data from a 1920 General Register Office report. James Harris, a historian at Ohio State University who studies both infectious disease and World War I said: “The rapid movement of soldiers around the globe was a major spreader of the disease. Deadly 2nd wave of Spanish flu pandemic of 1918 may hold clues for reopening today. New York City’s Board of Health adds flu to the list of reportable diseases, and requires all flu cases to be isolated at home or in a city hospital. The 1918 influenza outbreak or the “Spanish flu” spread across the world in between 1918 and 1919, and is generally believed to have infected 500 million people and killed 50 million, making it the deadliest pandemic of modern times, (the black death is thought to have killed more.). edinburghlive. “In the coming weeks, the second wave occurred, with tens of millions dead.”. The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus.Lasting from February 1918 to April 1920, it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time – in four successive waves. We believe it shows weekly influenza mortality figures for England and Wales, rather than global figures—it appears to come from this scientific paper, which in turn adapted it from this 1927 book, which sourced the data from a 1920 report by the General Register Office. Five times worse? I have no idea. The devastating second wave passed by December 2018, but there was more to come. Photograph: Public Domain . because there was an extremely deadly second wave of the 1918 flu, but not due to quarantine being lifted. The second wave of the Spanish flu hit Boston particularly hard as America prepared for World War I. However, it is wrong to say the lifting of quarantine and social distancing measures was the second wave’s cause. Or to presume that we’ve got it under control right now as the curve is flattening? In January 1919, a third wave started in Australia and worked its … As governments ease up on COVID-19-related lockdowns, policy-makers should heed … Some suggest that the virus may have mutated into a deadlier strain between the first and second wave, but this remains uncertain. (See photos that capture a world paused by … And so, then we really need to have a robust strategy in place to not have a second wave.” Spanish Flu of 1918 Compared to COVID-19 Although the world has faced several major pandemics over the last 100 years, one of the worst was the 1918 influenza pandemic, the so-called Spanish flu. 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Experts believe this data originates from weekly influenza mortality figures for England and Wales, instead of global numbers. https://www.skepticalob.com/2020/05/this-graph-could-save-your-life.html Will SECOND WAVE of Covid-19 Be Like The Spanish Flu of 1918? And additionally, issues related to the First World War are also blamed. In Spain, there are several theories about how it spread. The second wave . Second ‘wave’ theory. It is true the second wave of the pandemic was the most deadly, but it did not happen due to lifting of quarantine. We wrote about that outbreak here. In Australia, while the estimated death toll of 15,000 people was still high, it was less than a quarter of the country’s 62,000 death toll from the First World War. Note the changed number of cases compared to other graphs. The majority of victims died during the ‘black’ months of October, November and December 1918 and January 1919. The second of three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in fall 1918 was the deadliest and five times deadlier than the first wave in spring 1918. A second Winnipeg spike of Spanish flu cases, during the spring of 1919, was much smaller relative to the initial local spike. The second phase of Spanish flu occurred in the autumn of 1918. We’ve seen people claiming to be health professionals, family members, and even the government – offering dangerous tips like drinking warm water or gargling to prevent infection. For the purposes of that scheme, we’ve rated this claim as partly false © Copyright 2010-2021 Full Fact. This second wave is highly fatal, and responsible for most of the deaths attributed to the pandemic. The claims in the post about 1918 are a mixture of accurate and inaccurate. Good information about Covid-19 could be the difference between someone taking the right precautions to protect themselves and their families, or not. The answer can be given in one word: aspirin. The majority of deaths during the influenza pandemic of 1918-1919 were not caused by the influenza virus acting alone, report researchers from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of the National Institutes of Health. Vote in our poll, Thousands of Facebook users have shared a controversial Facebook post warning “humanity should never allow a repeat of the same mistake in 1918.”. If followed, it can put lives at serious risk. Consequently, during modern pandemics, health officials look for deadlier strains of a virus when it reaches places with social upheaval. The second wave . Figure. This article is part of our work fact checking potentially false pictures, videos and stories on Facebook. The Spanish flu is considered second only to the ‘Black Death’ plague pandemic in overall mortality rates. 6975984) limited by guarantee and registered in England and Wales. “The entire military industrial complex of moving lots of men and material in crowded conditions was certainly a huge contributing factor in the ways the pandemic spread.”. This highly fatal second wave was responsible for most of the U.S. deaths attributed to the pandemic. Is it very smart to assume that this Covid-19 will not re-emerge this Fall any worse than it has been? The second wave of the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918-20 was particularly devastating, as was the second wave of the H1N1 epidemic in 2009-10. Sian Traynor. The flu pandemic swept the globe in 1918 and changed the course of … Is it pos-sible that a poorly-adapted H1N1 virus was already begin-ning to spread in 1915, causing some serious illnesses but So what can be done to avoid a second wave … We and our partners use cookies on this site to improve our service, perform analytics, personalize advertising, measure advertising performance, and remember website preferences. https://fullfact.org/online/spanish-flu-second-wave-quarantine The longer claims like these go unchecked, the more they are repeated and believed. It is also correct to say most of the fatalities happened in the second wave of the virus. 19:48, 5 MAY 2020; Updated 15:29, 6 MAY 2020; News. A post claims that the 1918 influenza bout had a deadly second wave after quarantine restrictions were lifted. The second round of the virus claimed thousands more lives across the capital, taking the young and healthy as well as the elderly. By August of 1918, a deadlier strain of the “Spanish flu” emerged. 1158683) and a non-profit company (no. Share ; Comments; By. The graph of the waves of Spanish Flu as pictured up top reveals a very big factor (multiple) for the second wave. Last … Above: Large autumn wave. Historians now believe that the fatal severity of the Spanish flu’s second wave was caused by a mutated virus spread by wartime troop movement. How is Boris Johnson handling the coronavirus crisis? The graph below demonstrates the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic. Most of the fatalities happened in the 2nd wave. Archaeology news: Stone Age burial ground shows ancients wore elk teeth jewellery, Archaeology news: Evidence of Jerusalem’s ‘cursed’ King Uzziah proves Bible right – claim. The first wave began in March 1918, and the second wave—when the pandemic peaked in the US—came in the fall. 10 Misconceptions About the 1918 ‘Spanish Flu’ In the pandemic of 1918, between 50 and 100 million people are thought to have died, representing as much as 5% of the world’s population. How to fit this multi-lingual output into a meaningful transnational, transdisciplinary frame, as befits the worst pandemic in human history, will be the new challenge for historians of the pandemic 100 years after it occurred. In reality, public health measures greatly varied, with parades still being held in Autumn 1918, at the second wave’s peak. a 1920 report by the General Register Office, Viral posts about missing girl are false, again, Video falsely claims PCR tests insert ‘nanoparticles’ into brain, A “new” pink and blue planet is not real (sadly), A kiwi fruit did not test “positive” for Covid. And quarantine measures were implemented during the second wave in the US. Graph: Contributed, based on CDC graph of U.S. deaths . A third wave erupted in Australia in … Here is a photo of the 1918 Flu Pandemic Memorial, located in nearby Rogers Field in … You deserve better. The people felt so bad about the quarantine and social distancing measures that when they were first lifted, the people rejoiced in the streets without abandon. The second phase of Spanish flu occurred in the autumn of 1918. Most of our thinking on second-wave theory arises from the 1918-20 “Spanish Flu” that infected 500 million people worldwide and reportedly killed an estimated 20 million to 50 million. The second wave of flu emerges at Camp Devens, a United States Army training camp just outside of Boston, and at a naval facility in Boston. In reality, across the world, public health measures greatly varied, with parades still being held in Autumn 1918, at the height of the second wave. However, it’s incorrect to say the lifting of quarantine and social distancing measures was what led to the second wave. The second wave of the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918-20 was particularly devastating, as was the second wave of the H1N1 epidemic in 2009-10. Spanish Flu second wave graphs: Did the 1918 pandemic have a second wave? Some believe it was because the soldiers doing military service returned home in the summer, or that Portuguese people who returned home by train after the war ended, were to blame. In Spain, there are several theories about how it spread. In the US, quarantine measures were implemented during the second wave. A mutation of the virus has not been ruled out. 10 Misconceptions About the 1918 ‘Spanish Flu’ In the pandemic of 1918, between 50 and 100 million people are thought to have died, representing as much as 5% of the world’s population. You’ve probably seen a surge in misleading and unsubstantiated medical advice since the Covid-19 outbreak. The pandemic peaked in the U.S. during the second wave, in the fall of 1918. This second wave is highly fatal, and responsible for most of the deaths attributed to the pandemic. The second wave of the flu, in particular, had more brutal effects than typical influenza, not least because it was likelier than the ordinary flu to be joined by bacterial pneumonia. The graph of three predominant waves of Spanish Flu shown above is from the CDC website (I just added the SECOND WAVE title). Spanish Flu is usually more associated with wider failures in public health policy. By December 1918, the deadly second wave of the Spanish flu had finally passed, but the pandemic was far from over. Third Wave – Winter 1918. What does this have to do with the Spanish Flu pandemic? A decade later, a reassorted viral strain H3N2 further caused the Hong Kong flu pandemic (1968-1969). It can put people’s health at serious risk, when our services are already under pressure. So why was Spanish Flu such a killer? Spanish Flu infected at least 500 million people and killed 50 million, making it the deadliest pandemic in the modern era. The reason why there was a second wave of the flu is still debated, but is usually more associated with broader public health policy failures, and issues related to the war, such as soldiers travelling across Europe. Full Fact, 2 Carlton Gardens, London, SW1Y 5AA. Most fatalities happened in the second wave of the virus, which historians think was caused by wartime troop movements. The 1918 influenza outbreak, best known as Spanish Flu raced around the world in the years following the First World War. And so, then we really need to have a robust strategy in place to not have a second wave.” Spanish Flu of 1918 Compared to COVID-19 Although the world has faced several major pandemics over the last 100 years, one of the worst was the 1918 influenza pandemic, the so-called Spanish flu. Wed 29 Apr 2020 05.06 EDT. From their investigations, there may well emerge a third wave of ‘Spanish’ flu historiography, built on the surge of the second wave of the last 15 years. Mercury visible in the sky tonight: How can I see Mercury tonight? It promotes hate, damages people’s health, and hurts democracy. By August of 1918, a deadlier strain of the “Spanish flu” emerged. Most of our thinking on second-wave theory arises from the 1918-20 “Spanish Flu” that infected 500 million people worldwide and reportedly killed an estimated 20 million to 50 million. The second wave began, and the flu quickly spread around the world again. The value of R (top graph) is increased to 4 for a short period in November. “It lasted for two years, in three waves with 500 million people infected and 50 million deaths. The second wave was much more deadly than the first or third wave. Covid-19 Second Wave? It lasted for 2 years, in 3 waves with 500 million people infected and 50 million deaths. 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